Geopolitics of Critical Minerals: Power, Policy, and Supply Security
Critical minerals sit at the intersection of great power competition, industrial policy, and energy security. The nations that control the extraction, processing, and trade of these materials wield outsized influence over global supply chains, from electric vehicles and semiconductors to defense systems and clean energy infrastructure.
The geopolitics of critical minerals has emerged as one of the defining strategic challenges of the twenty-first century. As the world transitions away from fossil fuels and toward electrified, digital economies, the raw materials underpinning that shift have become instruments of statecraft. Governments are no longer content to let markets alone determine who mines, processes, and supplies the minerals that power advanced technologies. Instead, nations are deploying export controls, industrial subsidies, diplomatic partnerships, and strategic stockpiles to secure their positions in an increasingly contested resource landscape.
China's decades-long investment in mineral processing has given it unmatched leverage over supply chains for rare earths, lithium, cobalt, graphite, gallium, and germanium. Beijing has demonstrated a willingness to use this dominance as a geopolitical tool, imposing export restrictions that reverberate across global markets. In response, the United States, the European Union, Australia, Canada, Japan, and other nations are pursuing strategies that range from friendshoring and bilateral mineral agreements to domestic recycling mandates and accelerated mine permitting.
At the same time, resource-rich developing nations are asserting greater control over their mineral wealth. Resource nationalism is reshaping the terms of extraction in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Indonesia, Chile, Zimbabwe, and beyond, as governments seek a larger share of the value chain rather than exporting raw ores for others to refine. These dynamics create both risks and opportunities for companies, investors, and policymakers navigating the new mineral order.
This section examines the major geopolitical forces shaping critical mineral supply chains today. From the mechanics of China's processing dominance to the implications of export controls, sanctions regimes, and evolving alliance structures, the articles below provide the context needed to understand how mineral geopolitics will influence the energy transition, industrial competitiveness, and national security for decades to come.
Supply Chain Dominance
Understand how geographic concentration in mining and processing creates strategic vulnerabilities and geopolitical leverage.
Why China Dominates Mineral Processing
A detailed analysis of how China built its commanding position in processing rare earths, lithium, cobalt, graphite, gallium, and germanium, and what it means for global supply security.
Critical Minerals and National Security
Explore the intersection of critical mineral supply chains and national security, from defense manufacturing dependencies to strategic stockpiling and allied resilience.
Trade Policy and Restrictions
Examine how governments use trade policy, export controls, and sanctions to advance strategic interests in the mineral sector.
Export Controls and Restrictions
An in-depth look at export controls on critical minerals, including China's gallium and germanium restrictions, Indonesia's nickel ore ban, and the global trend toward trade weaponization.
Sanctions and Compliance
Navigate the sanctions landscape affecting mineral trade, from Russian palladium and aluminum to compliance frameworks that companies must follow in an era of geopolitical fragmentation.
Strategic Responses
Discover how nations are responding to supply concentration through partnerships, domestic investment, and new policy frameworks.
Resource Nationalism
Understand the rising tide of resource nationalism in mineral-rich nations, from DRC's cobalt policies and Indonesia's nickel strategy to Chile's lithium nationalization and its global implications.
Friendshoring and Partnerships
Explore how the Minerals Security Partnership, bilateral agreements, and friendshoring strategies are reshaping critical mineral supply chains among allied nations.