Pd

Palladium

Investing

Investing in Palladium

The investment landscape for Palladium offers 4 primary vehicles for exposure, ranging from equities of mining and processing companies to ETFs and commodity instruments. With prices currently around 1,678-1,718 $/oz (53,900-55,200 $/kg), the Palladium market reflects both structural demand growth and ongoing supply chain challenges.

Current Price

1,678-1,718

$/oz (53,900-55,200 $/kg)

Benchmark

LBMA/Johnson Matthey

Supply Risk

High

Investment factor

Criticality

High

Investment Vehicles

Key investment vehicles providing exposure to Palladium:

Futures

NYMEX Palladium Futures

CME Group palladium futures; liquid contract with physical delivery option

ETF

abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL)

Physically-backed palladium ETF listed on NYSE Arca

Stock

Sibanye-Stillwater (SSW.JO)

Dual-listed PGM producer with significant palladium exposure from US and South African operations

Physical

LBMA palladium bars

Physical palladium investment through LBMA-accredited bars and coins

Key Companies

The Palladium value chain includes these publicly listed and major private companies:

Nornickel

Producer GMKN.ME
Russia

Worlds largest palladium producer from Norilsk-Talnakh sulfide deposits in Arctic Siberia; produces ~40% of global supply

Anglo American Platinum

Producer AMS.JO
South Africa

Largest South African PGM producer; palladium is a significant co-product alongside platinum from Bushveld operations

Impala Platinum

Producer IMP.JO
South Africa

Major PGM producer; palladium output from South African and Zimbabwean operations

Sibanye-Stillwater

Producer SSW.JO
South Africa/USA

Operates the Stillwater mine in Montana, USA (only US PGM mine) and major South African PGM operations; significant palladium producer

BASF Catalysts

Major consumer BAS.DE
Germany

Worlds largest autocatalyst manufacturer; consumes large volumes of palladium for gasoline vehicle emission control catalysts

Johnson Matthey

Consumer/Recycler JMAT.L
UK

Major autocatalyst producer and PGM recycler; processes spent catalytic converters to recover palladium

Market Drivers

Palladium investment performance is driven by demand growth in gasoline catalytic converters and electronics and capacitors, supply concentration in Russia (40% share), new project development timelines, and government policies including export restrictions and strategic stockpiling programs.

Risk Factors

Investing in Palladium carries risks including commodity price volatility (see price history below), geopolitical risk in producing regions, regulatory uncertainty, and potential substitution. The high supply risk can create both opportunities from supply-driven price spikes and risks from sudden policy interventions.

Recent Price History

Palladium prices declined significantly through 2024-2025, falling from over $2,000/oz to around $950/oz, as the market shifted to surplus after years of deficit. The primary driver was the accelerating transition from internal combustion engine vehicles to EVs, which do not require palladium-containing catalytic converters. Russian supply - approximately 40% of global production from Nornickel - continued flowing to markets despite Western sanctions, as palladium was exempted from most trade restrictions due to its industrial importance. Substitution of palladium with platinum in gasoline autocatalysts also gained momentum. The structural outlook has turned bearish, with most analysts expecting palladium demand to peak by 2028-2030 as ICE vehicle production declines globally.

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